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The Year
2000 Computer Problem
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WHAT'S
THE RUSH? COUNTDOWN to the YEAR 2000!
While many people are eagerly awaiting January 1st, 2000 to see if anything will
actually crash, there needs to be an awareness that this is not only a one day problem.
Since software and hardware that is involved in projections and demographic data
we are surely going to need to be up to speed at least one year in advance. According
to the Gartner Group, while 40% of the time and resources might be spent on analysis
of the problem and modification of the situation, another 45% of the time is spent
on testing, training, disaster recovery and documentation. This means that companies
cannot START their fixes in the year 1999, they need to be on it by mid 1998 to have
a good chance of minimizing the problems. We are less than 380 days away before this
date arrives.
These are some of the projected BITES identified by the CLUB 2000 technical information
team that this "Millennium Bug" (as some people call it) may take:
Bite 1 July 1, 1998 This is the first day of the fiscal year 1999, for 46
of the 50 states.
Bite 2 October 1, 1998 This is the first day of the fiscal year for the Federal
Government.
Bite 3 December 1, 1998 This can be a concern for companies that use inventory
control systems that forecast for more than one year ahead.
Bite 4 January 1, 1999 The FIRST REAL bite - Expected to cause data and software
failures globally. This is when the first true impact of the Year 2000 computer glitch
is supposed to hit. Any business that does one year projections or bookings for the
upcoming year, will start to see problems occurring. (This is a concern for the travel
and tourism industry.)
Bite 5 January 4, 1999 This is the first workday of the year 1999, any companies
that do calculations using the year 99 or projections beyond 99 may have trouble.
Bite 6 April 1, 1999 This is the first day of the fiscal year 1999, for New
York and Canada as well as many large companies, which means the problems could start
earlier, since there is the situation of networking and interdependencies of other
companies.
Bite 7 April 4, 1999 The series of three 9's in the date, 040999 could cause
some computers to signal a response or purge data.
Bite 8 July 1, 1999 This is the first day of the fiscal year 2000, for 46
of the 50 states.
Bite 9 Aug. 1, 1999 This and the rest of the year on the first of each month,
is the first day of the fiscal year 1999, for many corporations.
Bite 10 September 9, 1999 This may confuse some programming code in files
since programmers have used this code 9999 (a.k.a. 9/9/99) as an "end of file"
indicator, so the date may confuse some systems.
Bite 11 October 1, 1999 Start of the fiscal year 2000 for the Federal Government.
Bite 12 December 1, 1999 This is the last month of the year 1999 and many
companies may drop their business, or people may quit or move if they realize that
they can not fix the Y2K bug in time.
Bite 13 December 31, 1999 This date has been programmed as the end of a sequence
and may cause computers to shut down automatically.
Bite 14 January 1, 2000 THE BIG ONE!…(Thank goodness it's on a Saturday!)
Bite 15 January 3, 2000 The first business Monday after the big date change.
What's still working and what's not?!
Bite 16 October 1, 2000 Numerous programs are not designed to read 10100 as
a date.
Bite 17 February 29, 2000 The Leap Year "After-Bite" did we forget
to tell you about the other computer glitch? It has something to do with counting
leap years. Because of an obscure leap year rule in the year 2000, stating that if
the year is divisible by 4, then it is a leap year, but if it also divisible by 100,
then it isn't, but if it is divisible by 400, then it is a leap year. Did you follow
that? Guess this will finish off some of those computers that skated through the
"00" glitch unscathed.
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