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The Year
2000 Computer Problem
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WE WILL
GET IT FIXED IN TIME, WON'T WE?
The Information Technology Association of America found that 44 percent of US
companies that they pooled have ALREADY experienced some Y2K failures (as reported
in WIRED magazine - August 1998.) They also reported that the Gartner Group has estimated
that 20-30 percent of the firms nationwide haven't even started preparing for the
Y2K. This affects everyone, since many of today's technology microchips have embedded
in them critical data or time related information that helps them function. An example
of this is a microwave oven. While that may not be disastrous (except to the stew
you were planning on having for dinner on January 1st, 2000), it could impact things
such as ATM machines, automobiles, street lights, power plants or medical equipment.
According to Thomas B. Shope, the head of the FDA's electronics and computer science
unit, medical equipment often has embedded chips that keep track of how long it has
been since it was last serviced. If these are not Y2K ready, then it could easily
trigger equipment failure and potentially pose a health risk.
In an article in Small Business Computing and Communications - June 1998, they stated
that the threat of massive power or telecommunications failure is high in many countries
and that for Third World countries, "the risk that the banking system and air
traffic control systems can malfunction is especially high." Many of today's
cars have embedded chips in the engines that track when service is needed and a multitude
of other functions.
England should be applauded for it's efforts. The government has set aside 30 million
pounds for business centers throughout the nation to train and assist small business
owners with potential Y2K problems.
The U.S. Government plans on spending roughly $2 billion dollars to get the federal
government computer systems ready for the year 2000. The Small Business Administration
has been working to assist small enterprises in their efforts to get ready. They
have specifically devoted a section of SBA Web Site (www.sba.gov)
to it.
DHL Worldwide Express set aside $25 million to find a fix for the Year 2000 problem.
They started their research of it back in 1996 and began the corrections in 1997.
They have over 25,000 networked users in 227 countries. This is a perfect example
of a company planning ahead and seeing it as an investment in the viability of their
company. Another company that is investing close to $200 million dollars because
"This will just enable us to stay in business." is Merrill Lynch who recognizes
that the return on investment is zero, even though they have an 80 member team working
24 hours a day to make sure their computers are "bug-free".
The U.S. Government and may large organizations are starting to identify what are
referred to as "mission critical" systems, that if they are not corrected,
serious consequences may follow. This will allow programmers to focus on the most
important areas first. Our "Date with Destiny" has a deadline that can't
be moved. Many people fear that countries like Russia and some European countries
are being too complacent in acting on this. The effects will probably rebound as
suppliers and workers in other countries begin feeling the negative effects of computer
breakdowns. Even if less that 5% of the world experiences a shutdown, the consequences
of this could take years to correct and put hundreds of thousands of people out of
work.
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